{"id":1023,"date":"2010-05-09T23:47:41","date_gmt":"2010-05-09T15:47:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nargalzius.com\/blog\/archives\/2010\/05\/09\/fearless-forecast\/"},"modified":"2010-05-09T23:47:41","modified_gmt":"2010-05-09T15:47:41","slug":"fearless-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/nargalzius.com\/blog\/archives\/2010\/05\/09\/fearless-forecast","title":{"rendered":"Fearless forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Given the &#8220;weights&#8221; people seem to be using to vote, my forecast is that the results are going to turn out as predicted. And while it <em>does<\/em> dishearten me, I guess I&#8217;ll have to accept it as that&#8217;s the &#8220;voice of the people&#8221; &#8211; which in turn vindicates my old claim that we really don&#8217;t deserve democracy.<\/p>\n<p>I just want to go on the record that if Noynoy doesn&#8217;t deliver on his promises&#8230; those who voted for him are not going to hear the end of it from me. And the <em>next time<\/em> we talk politics, your opinions would be of considerably less significance. So your man better be the person you <em>hope<\/em> him to be &#8211; because I&#8217;m pretty sure he&#8217;s <em>not.<\/em> And thankfully, unlike debating the existence of God, we <em>will<\/em> have the answer if he&#8217;s indeed the man who could &#8220;fix&#8221; our country. If your &#8220;faith&#8221; in him was just that; blind, naive faith &#8211; or if it really was based on something more substantial (which I highly doubt).<\/p>\n<p>In fact, just for the heck of it, I&#8217;m willing to make a bet: If Noynoy wins, and he <strong>does<\/strong> deliver &#8211; then I&#8217;ll shave my head bald.\nIf by some miracle, Gordon wins, and he <strong>doesn&#8217;t<\/strong> deliver, I&#8217;ll do the same.<!--more--><!-- \/\/ --><\/p>\n<p>My only stipulation on that bet is that whatever it is Noynoy &#8220;delivers&#8221; &#8211; will be of no less caliber than what Gordon claims <em>he<\/em> (Gordon) could accomplish.<\/p>\n<p>So I <strong>won&#8217;t<\/strong> be accepting the <em>&#8220;it&#8217;ll take time&#8221;<\/em> or <em>&#8220;it&#8217;s not as easy as it sounds,&#8221;<\/em> or even the <em>&#8220;we can&#8217;t expect that drastic a change in such a short period&#8221;<\/em> types of excuses for an answer. Because I know our man would never cop out to answers like that &#8211; he never had to and still got results &#8211; why should he start now? You said your man can turn this country around, then I will expect of him no less than what I am expecting of <em>my<\/em> candidate. I will want to see concrete end-results &#8211; not just &#8220;in-progress&#8221; shit.<\/p>\n<p>You know why us people from Gordon&#8217;s camp are so &#8220;confident&#8221; about these kinds of claims even if they&#8217;re still in the realm of suppositions? <span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_1023_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_1');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_1023_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_1');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_1\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">1 <\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_1023_1_1\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">After all, a president hasn&#8217;t been elected yet.<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_1').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_1023_1_1', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script> It&#8217;s because he has done them in a micro-level already. Like I said, wether or not that it&#8217;s possible to &#8220;port&#8221; his accomplishments to a macro-level (the Philippines), of <em>all<\/em> the candidates, he <em>still<\/em> has the best chances by the mere fact of having the experience of &#8220;trying.&#8221; <span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_1023_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_2');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_1023_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_2');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_2\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">2 <\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_1023_1_2\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Even if only on a micro-level<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_2').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_1023_1_2', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script> <\/p>\n<p>It doesn&#8217;t take a rocket scientist to know by now that Gordon is the type of man that <em>will get things done<\/em> &#8211; even if entails being a hands-on type of leader (instead of passing the responsibilies\/blame to others). Whether or not this &#8220;initiative\/determination&#8221; is driven by personal pride (of not looking bad \/ failing), <span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_1023_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_3');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_1023_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_3');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_3\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">3 <\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_1023_1_3\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">He seems to be the zero-tolerance of failure type of person<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_3').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_1023_1_3', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script> or simply because he&#8217;s just <em>that<\/em> capable, isn&#8217;t really relevant at this point. As long as <em>that<\/em> inititave\/determination yields the results our country so badly needs, how can that be a bad thing right?<\/p>\n<p>The reason why I&#8217;ll feel bad if someone like Noynoy wins is because when all is said and done, and when my fearless forecast does come true <span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_1023_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_4');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_1023_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_4');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_4\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">4 <\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_1023_1_4\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">That he might just be a slight improvement of Cory<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_4').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_1023_1_4', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script> the <em>only<\/em> consolation people like us have left to say to ourselves is that <em>&#8220;it could&#8217;ve been worse&#8221;<\/em> (We could&#8217;ve gotten Villar, or Erap). This is so disconcerting because given the candidates we currently have, it <strong>really could&#8217;ve been better &#8211; so much better.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I will admit, I do not underestimate the urgency of not letting people like Erap or Villar win, so while the &#8220;winnable&#8221; argument turns a lot of people off &#8211; when it comes to the point that Erap or Villar winning, then I guess voting for Noynoy would definitely be the better choice. <span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_1023_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_5');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_1023_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_5');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_5\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">5 <\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_1023_1_5\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">I&#8217;m a realist first and foremost<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_5').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_1023_1_5', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script> I believe I admitted this on my earlier blog post(s), however the reason I&#8217;m crestfallen is that since it&#8217;s rare that I actually am this optimistic about the possibilities of our country, I&#8217;ve realized that we actually <em>have<\/em> a shot at <em>true progress<\/em> &#8211; which, if you know me, I&#8217;ve normally been very skeptical of. <\/p>\n<p>It just pisses me off that the country is most probably going to waste a rare opportunity because they&#8217;d rather elect someone out of <em>sentiment<\/em> rather than <em>sense<\/em> &#8211; and the reasons for my jadedness, skepticism, or lack of faith in our society will be proven right once again &#8211; when right now, there&#8217;s nothing more that I want than <strong>to be proven wrong.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I apologize to Noynoy supporters who are friends of mine in advance; because this is really addressed to most of you. I have no qualms about Gibo supporters because I truly believe that this election, if people <em>really<\/em> used sense over sentiment, should really be between Gibo and Gordon. And both would be fine choices. While still I think Gordon is considerably more capable and experienced than Gibo, I wouldn&#8217;t mind Gibo winning as he, to me, is the <em>real<\/em> &#8220;second best&#8221; choice. <\/p>\n<p>Noynoy, Villar, etc. are all a distant 3rd IMHO as far as potential goes. So I will have to be honest that Noynoy winning&#8230; to me is just like Erap winning &#8211; the only difference\/consolation would [hopefully] be that that he wouldn&#8217;t be as corrupt (or corrupt at all) as you say he is &#8211; but as far as actually effecting change in this country &#8211; I seriously doubt it. That his VP is more capable than him (admitted by your own camp) is a clear indication of that.<\/p>\n<p>If anything, it would be Mar that could actually do something &#8211; but it seems Binay might just win. If that happens, the whole &#8220;balance&#8221; of Noynoy&#8217;s situation will suddenly go haywire; can he really control someone like Binay if they don&#8217;t agree with policies? But you know who could handle <em>anyone<\/em> regardless of irreconcilable differences? Someone who isn&#8217;t concerned with &#8220;playing nice.&#8221; Someone like Gordon.<\/p>\n<p>So I&#8217;m hoping for a miracle&#8230; and I will shave my head if that miracle is given to me.<\/p>\n<p>I hope those people saying they will hold themselves accountable for the leaders they elect could really do something that could make up for that mistake (should it be proven that they indeed made a mistake). Because let&#8217;s face it, there&#8217;s really nothing you can do once you set the wheel in motion and realize you&#8217;ve made a mistake. What <em>else<\/em> can you do right? Nothing, because the only thing any of us <em>could&#8217;ve<\/em> done is just choose the right man for the job, and we <em>didn&#8217;t<\/em> &#8211; we blew it &#8211; simple as that.<\/p>\n<p>Mo Twister was right when he said that it really is the people&#8217;s loss if Gordon loses. And if people <em>still<\/em> think that&#8217;s an arrogant claim instead of trying to see exactly what&#8217;s at stake here, then we fucking <strong>deserve<\/strong> to fall further down the rabbit hole.<\/p><div class=\"speaker-mute footnotes_reference_container\"> <div class=\"footnote_container_prepare\"><p><span role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"footnote_reference_container_label pointer\" onclick=\"footnote_expand_collapse_reference_container_1023_1();\">Notes<\/span><span role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"footnote_reference_container_collapse_button\" style=\"display: none;\" onclick=\"footnote_expand_collapse_reference_container_1023_1();\">[<a id=\"footnote_reference_container_collapse_button_1023_1\">+<\/a>]<\/span><\/p><\/div> <div id=\"footnote_references_container_1023_1\" style=\"\"><table class=\"footnotes_table footnote-reference-container\"><caption class=\"accessibility\">Notes<\/caption> <tbody> \r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_1023_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_1');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_1\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8673;<\/span>1<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">After all, a president hasn&#8217;t been elected yet.<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_1023_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_2');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_2\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8673;<\/span>2<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Even if only on a micro-level<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_1023_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_3');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_3\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8673;<\/span>3<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">He seems to be the zero-tolerance of failure type of person<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_1023_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_4');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_4\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8673;<\/span>4<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">That he might just be a slight improvement of Cory<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_1023_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_1023_1_5');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_1023_1_5\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8673;<\/span>5<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">I&#8217;m a realist first and foremost<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n <\/tbody> <\/table> <\/div><\/div><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> function footnote_expand_reference_container_1023_1() { jQuery('#footnote_references_container_1023_1').show(); jQuery('#footnote_reference_container_collapse_button_1023_1').text('\u2212'); } function footnote_collapse_reference_container_1023_1() { jQuery('#footnote_references_container_1023_1').hide(); jQuery('#footnote_reference_container_collapse_button_1023_1').text('+'); } function footnote_expand_collapse_reference_container_1023_1() { if (jQuery('#footnote_references_container_1023_1').is(':hidden')) { footnote_expand_reference_container_1023_1(); } else { footnote_collapse_reference_container_1023_1(); } } function footnote_moveToReference_1023_1(p_str_TargetID) { footnote_expand_reference_container_1023_1(); var l_obj_Target = jQuery('#' + p_str_TargetID); if (l_obj_Target.length) { jQuery( 'html, body' ).delay( 0 ); jQuery('html, body').animate({ scrollTop: l_obj_Target.offset().top - window.innerHeight * 0.2 }, 380); } } function footnote_moveToAnchor_1023_1(p_str_TargetID) { footnote_expand_reference_container_1023_1(); var l_obj_Target = jQuery('#' + p_str_TargetID); if (l_obj_Target.length) { jQuery( 'html, body' ).delay( 0 ); jQuery('html, body').animate({ scrollTop: l_obj_Target.offset().top - window.innerHeight * 0.2 }, 380); } }<\/script>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Given the &#8220;weights&#8221; people seem to be using to vote, my forecast is that the results are going to turn out as predicted. And while it does dishearten me, I guess I&#8217;ll have to accept it as that&#8217;s the &#8220;voice of the people&#8221; &#8211; which in turn vindicates my old claim that we really don&#8217;t &hellip; <p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"http:\/\/nargalzius.com\/blog\/archives\/2010\/05\/09\/fearless-forecast\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Fearless forecast&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[4],"tags":[473],"class_list":["post-1023","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general","tag-general"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/nargalzius.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1023","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/nargalzius.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/nargalzius.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/nargalzius.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/nargalzius.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1023"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/nargalzius.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1023\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/nargalzius.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1023"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/nargalzius.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1023"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/nargalzius.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1023"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}